Market Fundamentals

Dmitry Fadeyev:

If this is the view of the market that Microsoft subscribe[s] to, then Windows 8 is the answer to that...It’s an OS that assumes that most computing will be done on devices that resemble powerful tablets with detachable keyboards, not on the laptops and the desktops of today. It’s an OS that tries to serve everyone at once, to cover all use cases and all markets....

But this only holds if the original premise is correct, that the tablet is the evolution of the laptop, and I just don’t think that’s right. Where the division lies is not a[t] the desktop and the mobile level, or between the laptop and the tablet, but between professional use (i.e. content creation), and light/entertainment use (i.e content consumption). While tablets are not necessarily used purely for content consumption, their limitations (small screen size and lack of a hardware keyboard) mean that this will always be their main use.

This is what Apple has demonstrated an uncanny understanding of since 2007, and it's why they're making money hand over fist.

Everyone Happy All The Time

Microsoft's big push behind Windows 8 (and its new tablet, the Surface) has been all about the promise of “no compromise”. Microsoft wants its offering to be all things to all people. But to anyone who thinks critically about anything, ever, that's just plain stupid. Design is all about compromise. It's about choosing what battles to fight and what battles to cede.

The 11" MacBook Air. If you want a laptop that compact and portable, the screen won't be very large. The battery life won't be as good. The thermal envelope doesn't support jamming a ton of processing power in it. Why? Because those are the things that need to be sacrificed at the altar of portability.

The 15" MacBook Pro with Retina Display has the opposite problem. It has a large (and gorgeous) display, better battery life, and scads of horsepower. But it's much bigger and much heavier than the 11" Air.

The iPad (4) is bigger, thicker, and heavier than the iPad Mini, but those are the tradeoffs that had to be made to keep the battery life the same and still run the retina display/A6X processor.

Of course, despite all the high-minded talk, this is also true of the Surface (from Matt Honan):

Microsoft’s new tablet is an altogether curious device. It’s something completely new and different. It is, in some ways, better than an iPad. In some ways, worse. It’s brilliant, and yet it can be puzzling as well. Confoundingly so at times. It’s a tablet of both compromises and confusion. It is a true hybrid — neither fully a desktop nor mobile device. That’s reflected in all sorts of ways. It is Wi-Fi only, but won’t run traditional Windows applications. It has a full-featured keyboard and runs Microsoft Office — but it’s certainly meant to be touched and swiped and tapped.

It’s different.

And of course — but again, not unexpectedly — Windows 8 runs into similar compromises (from Tom Warren):

Microsoft has made the decision to remove a number of features from its Office 2013 RT release to ensure battery life and reliability are not impacted on tablet devices.

Some compromise is fine as long as we don't go overboard (remember netbooks?). Consumers understand compromise. Further, people in general understand compromise. We do it all the time in all aspects of our lives. Our electronics are no different. And Microsoft, I don't blame you for compromising; we all knew you had to do it. But please, please don't treat us like we're stupid.

That's one thing I won't compromise on.

Business Insider and the Hopeful Math

Steve Kovach:

Windows RT tablets will likely cost $200 to $300 less than Windows 8 tablets. Since Windows 8 tablets are expected to cost $600 to $700, it's possible you'll be able to buy a Windows RT tablet for as little as $300.

I'm not saying it isn't true, but seriously... that's the new math. It's more likely that those tablets will cost $400-$500, isn't it?

Windows 8 Retina Tablets

Killian Bell:

With this support in Windows 8, we could see rival tablet displays with even greater pixel densities than the new iPad. It’s a shame they won’t be running iOS.

That's a big *could* there. Retina-competing smartphones just got preposterously large. I'm not saying it won't happen, but everyone else is focusing on gimmicks and catching-up while Apple is blazing ahead.

‘Apple to Take on Windows 8 With OS X Mountain Lion’

Ben Brooks:

Paul ‘Supersite’ Thurrott on the OS X Mountain Lion release:

There were absolutely no rumors to indicate such a release was coming, and given the timing, one can logically assume that Apple is trying to steal some thunder from Microsoft’s eagerly-awaited Windows 8.

Apple CEO Tim Cook to the Wall Street Journal:

I don’t really think anything Microsoft does puts pressure on Apple

Who to believe, who to believe…

I bet Mountain Lion ships well before Windows 8. But! While Microsoft has been trying to get Office and Windows Phone 7 out, Apple has been sitting on it's hands so… not really a fair fight.

IE On ARM Will Be Flash-less

Alex Wilhelm:

Also announced today: Internet Explorer on ARM machines will not have Flash support.

Ryan Kim, reporting Adobe's optimism 1 year ago:

This year, the company expects more than 132 million smartphones to have Flash Player installed, including 40 percent of all smartphones shipped in the first half of the year, while more than 50 tablets will ship or be able to download Flash Player.

Danny Winokaur, Adobe's Official Blog, four months ago today:

We will no longer continue to develop Flash Player in the browser to work with new mobile device configurations.

Anyone know any good Flash developer courses?